Add 'Indonesia Palm Oil Output Seen Recovering in 2025, but Biodiesel'
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<br>Indonesia plans to execute B40 in January<br>
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<br>Because case, costs may rally 10%-15% in Jan-March, Mielke says<br>
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<br>B40 will need additional 3 mln lots feedstock, GAPKI says<br>
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<br>Malaysia palm oil standard at greatest considering that mid-2022<br>
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<br>India may withdraw import [tax hike](https://stocktwits.com/symbol/MNEL) amidst inflation, Mistry says<br>
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<br>(Adds analyst remarks, updates Malaysia's palm oil benchmark price)<br>
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<br>By Bernadette Christina<br>
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<br>NUSA DUA, Indonesia, Nov 8 (Reuters) - Indonesia's palm oil output is [anticipated](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html) to recover in 2025 after an anticipated drop this year, however prices are to stay [elevated](https://pitchbook.com/profiles/company/51278-86) due to organized growth of the country's [biodiesel](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) required, [market analysts](https://www.businessnews.com.au/Company/Mission-NewEnergy) said.<br>
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<br>The palm oil [standard](https://www.pinterest.com.au/missionnewenergy/) price in [Malaysia](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MISSION-NEWENERGY-LIMITED-178469/company/) has increased more than 35% this year, lifted by slow output and [Indonesia's](https://forest500.org/rankings/companies/mission-newenergy-limited) plan to increase the [mandatory domestic](https://www.zoominfo.com/c/mission-newenergy/346542889) [biodiesel](https://www.pinterest.com.au/missionnewenergy/) blend to 40% in January from 35% now in an effort to reduce fuel imports.<br>
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<br>Palm oil output next year in top producer Indonesia is anticipated to recover by 1.5 million metric tons compared with an [estimated drop](https://www.businessnews.com.au/Company/Mission-NewEnergy) of simply over a million loads this year, Julian McGill, managing director at Glenauk Economics, told the Indonesia Palm [Oil Conference](https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/m/0cqd_rb) on Friday.<br>
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<br>Thomas Mielke, head of Hamburg-based research [firm Oil](https://www.energy-xprt.com/companies/mission-newenergy-limited-36048) World, stated he expects Indonesia's palm oil production to increase by as much as 2 million heaps next year after a 2.5 million heap drop in 2024.<br>
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<br>While Indonesia's output is anticipated to enhance, supply from elsewhere and of other [veggie oils](https://www.pinterest.com.au/missionnewenergy/) is seen tightening up.<br>
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<br>Palm oil output in neighbouring Malaysia is anticipated to dip a little next year after increasing by an approximated 1 million loads in 2024.<br>
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<br>"We would need a healing in palm in 2025 due to the fact that combined exports of soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils are declining," Mielke stated.<br>
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<br>'FRIGHTENING' PRICE SURGE<br>
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<br>The [rate surge](https://www.abnnewswire.net/companies/en/31347/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%B4%E0%B8%A9%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%97-Mission-NewEnergy-%E0%B8%88%E0%B8%B3%E0%B8%81%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%94.html/4) in palm oil in the past seven weeks has actually been "frightening" for purchasers, Mielke stated, adding that it would rally by 10%-15% in [January-March](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html) if Indonesia imposes the so-called B40 policy.<br>
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<br>The Indonesia Palm Oil Association stated extra feedstock of around 3 million tons will be needed for B40 execution, eroding export supply.<br>
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<br>The existing palm oil premium has already caused palm to lose market share against other oils, Mielke included.<br>
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<br>Malaysian palm oil costs are seen trading at around $950 to $1,050 per metric ton in 2025, McGill of Glenauk estimated.<br>
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<br>Benchmark Malaysian palm [oil touched](https://www.businessnews.com.au/Company/Mission-NewEnergy) 5,104 ringgit ($1,165.30) on Friday, the highest since mid-2022.<br>
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<br>"Sentiment right now is red-hot and very bullish, we have to beware," stated Dorab Mistry, [director](https://www.investing.com/equities/mission-newenergy-ltd-company-profile) at Indian durable goods [company](https://pitchbook.com/profiles/company/51278-86) [Godrej International](https://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/159352/mission-newenergy-debt-free-focused-on-biofuel-joint-venture-60797.html).<br>
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<br>He forecast the [Malaysian cost](https://www.intelligentinvestor.com.au/shares/asx-mbt/mission-newenergy-limited/share-price) around 5,000 ringgit and above up until June 2025.<br>
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<br>Mielke and Mistry advised Indonesia to<br>
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<br>consider postponing<br>
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<br>B40 execution on concern about its effect on food customers.<br>
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<br>Meanwhile, Mistry anticipated top palm oil importer India to withdraw its<br>
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<br>import responsibility hike<br>
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<br>imposed from September after elections in the state of Maharashtra in November. ($1 = 4.3800 ringgit) (Reporting by Bernadette Christina Munthe Writing by Fransiska Nangoy
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